Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Aug 20 · 16:27 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Packaging & Home Improvement

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

Price direction is split across 16 measured members. Capital-flow agreement is 4%, so the basket is not yet clean.

Price breadth11 up · 4 downRelative median unavailable
Capital-flow alignment4%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 37/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth3 episodesLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

0 timed events
TIMING READA causal timing read is unavailable because no material member price onset could be timestamped.

No session event has enough timestamp precision to place on the clock.

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, JUL 22DHI filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates · date precision only

THU, JUL 30CVCO filing documented shared operating contextcredit / rates · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
Price sequence unavailableA timestamped price sequence is unavailable.
RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

Session-normalized

Observed intraday paths are not available for this group yet.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

16/16 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across CVCO, DORM, KBH, LEN, MHO, MTH, PATK, RUSHA.

credit / rates

Subject to certain conditions and requirements set forth in the Credit Agreement, including the availability of additional lender commitments, the Company may request from time to time one or more term loan facilities, or increases in the aggregate commitments under the Revolving Credit Facility, in an aggregate amount not exceeding $ 150 million.

CVCO 10-Q · 2026-07-31
demand / volume affecting orders

We identified management’s assumption related to the timing in which work orders are completed as a critical audit matter because of the significant judgments made by management to estimate the timing of warranty claims relative to home sales.

CVCO 10-K · 2026-05-22
demand / volume affecting revenue

The decrease in consolidated net sales is primarily due to lower current dealer and consumer demand in comparison to fiscal 2024 in the North American Motorized and European segments, partially offset by an increase in net sales from our North American Towable segment.

THO 10-K · 2025-09-24
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

3 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

TOLMoving with group

GRBK · text peer

LGIHMoving with group

LEN · text peer

BZHMoving with group

GRBK · text peer

HOVNot confirming

DHI · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
THOVVVMHORUSHARUSHBLENPATKMTHKBHDHIGRBKSKYLCIICVCOPHMDORM

9/16 active11 rising · 5 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
THOTHOR Industries, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
-0.0%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 4.2% of observed group sessions
VVVValvoline Inc.
Elevated · 78/100
-1.3%
Flow divergenceActive in 37.5% of observed group sessions
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.
Elevated · 73/100
+1.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 12.5% of observed group sessions
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.
Elevated · 70/100
-2.2%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
RUSHBRush Enterprises, Inc.
Elevated · 46/100
+2.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
LENLennar Corporation
Elevated · 45/100
-0.6%
Flow confirmerActive in 4.2% of observed group sessions
PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.
Elevated · 45/100
+0.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 4.2% of observed group sessions
MTHMeritage Homes Corporation
Elevated · 44/100
+1.4%
Flow confirmerActive in 4.2% of observed group sessions
KBHKB Home
Elevated · 44/100
+2.6%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.
Elevated · 43/100
+1.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.
Elevated · 41/100
+1.0%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.
Elevated · 40/100
+0.3%
Flow confirmerActive in 8.3% of observed group sessions
LCIILCI Industries
Quiet · 36/100
+0.5%
Watch / laggardActive in 4.2% of observed group sessions
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.
Quiet · 33/100
+0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.
Quiet · 28/100
+0.9%
Watch / laggardActive in 16.7% of observed group sessions
DORMDorman Products, Inc.
Quiet · 26/100
-0.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 12.5% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
THOTHOR Industries, Inc.Most unusual-0.0%4.2% of 24 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
VVVValvoline Inc.Participating-1.3%37.5% of 24 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.Participating+1.3%12.5% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.Participating-2.2%0% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
RUSHBRush Enterprises, Inc.Participating+2.3%0% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
LENLennar CorporationParticipating-0.6%4.2% of 24 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.Participating+0.3%4.2% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
MTHMeritage Homes CorporationParticipating+1.4%4.2% of 24 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
KBHKB HomeParticipating+2.6%16.7% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.Participating+1.3%8.3% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.Participating+1.0%0% of 24 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.Participating+0.3%8.3% of 24 sessionsPrice participation with accumulating signed flow.
LCIILCI IndustriesQuiet / lagging+0.5%4.2% of 24 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.3%0% of 24 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.9%16.7% of 24 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
DORMDorman Products, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.2%12.5% of 24 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Early observed follow-through

3/3 events completed
30 minutes-1.33%0% continuation · n=2Median MFE +-0.42% · MAE -2.50%
60 minutes-2.18%0% continuation · n=2Median MFE +-0.42% · MAE -2.50%
Session close-0.27%0% continuation · n=1Median MFE +-0.04% · MAE -1.53%
Next-session close-2.07%0% continuation · n=2Median MFE +-0.42% · MAE -2.50%
Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 3 completed episodes across 24 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support33 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes3Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions24Completed session observations, not trades
2026-08-191 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-07-15 → 2026-08-1219 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
2026-07-07 → 2026-07-104 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
VVV37.5% · 2 episodes
KBH16.7% · 2 episodes
PHM16.7% · 2 episodes
DORM12.5% · 1 episode
MHO12.5% · 2 episodes
DHI8.3% · 1 episode
SKY8.3% · 2 episodes
LCII4.2% · 1 episode
LEN4.2% · 1 episode
MTH4.2% · 1 episode
PATK4.2% · 1 episode
THO4.2% · 1 episode
CVCO0% · 0 episodes
GRBK0% · 0 episodes
RUSHA0% · 0 episodes
RUSHB0% · 0 episodes