Themes / Group
Inactive · established relationshipLatest completed snapshot · Jul 14 · 18:03 ET

MARKET-DISCOVERED GROUP

Semiconductor Technology

THE TRADER READRecurring relationship, inactive in the latest snapshot

7 of 12 measured SPY-adjusted paths align to the upside across 6.1 effective names. Common-bar coverage spans 12 of 24 cohort members. Capital-flow agreement is 53%, so the basket is not yet clean. No verified headline preceded the measured move.

Price breadth17 up · 7 down+0.7% median path versus SPY
Capital-flow alignment53%Price breadth is not yet confirmed by flow
Activity nowCalmActivity score 15/100 · lift 0.8×
Evidence depth2 episodesLow sample—context, not a validated playbook
EVIDENCE CLOCK

What happened, in timestamp order

4 timed events · 10:20–15:55 ET
TIMING READNo verified timestamped headline was found within 24 hours of the first measured price move in the available common-bar window. The move currently reads as market-led or unexplained.
  1. 5-minute inferenceCLFD registered the first material upside path

    +5.07% session path at the threshold · CLFD

  2. 5-minute inferenceHLIT registered a material upside path

    +1.88% session path at the threshold · HLIT

  3. 5-minute inferenceAMBQ registered a material upside path

    +1.52% session path at the threshold · AMBQ

  4. 5-minute inferenceAMBA registered a material upside path

    +1.04% session path at the threshold · AMBA

2 earlier filing context receipts

WED, NOV 5SEDG filing documented shared operating contextdemand / volume affecting revenue · date precision only

MON, MAY 11AIP filing documented shared operating contextdemand / volume affecting revenue · date precision only

Headline times and retained activity confirmations are point-in-time evidence. Price order is inferred from aligned 5-minute bars. Filing evidence has date precision only and is context, not an intraday catalyst claim.
THEME CONSTRUCTION

Broad move or one-stock disguise?

SPY-adjusted 5m paths

Observed movement is balanced across 6.1 effective names. CLFD represents 33.5% of absolute path energy; 7 of 12 members align with the up relative path.

ConstructionBalanced33.5% from the largest path
Effective names6.1 / 1212 of 24 cohort members had common bars
Direction breadth7/12 alignedupside relative path · 4 counter-moving
Largest moverCLFD 33.5%46.2% from the top two paths
CLFD33.5%Dominant mover · path +5.46% · basket +0.46pp
HLIT12.7%Aligned contributor · path +2.07% · basket +0.17pp
AMBQ11.2%Aligned contributor · path +1.83% · basket +0.15pp
AMBA8.5%Aligned contributor · path +1.39% · basket +0.12pp
ARRY5.9%Counter-move · path -0.96% · basket -0.08pp
HPE5.8%Counter-move · path -0.94% · basket -0.08pp
ENPH5.1%Aligned contributor · path +0.83% · basket +0.07pp
CEVA4.8%Aligned contributor · path +0.79% · basket +0.07pp
AVGO4.4%Counter-move · path -0.71% · basket -0.06pp
GCTS3.9%Counter-move · path -0.63% · basket -0.05pp
AIP3.8%Aligned contributor · path +0.63% · basket +0.05pp
CSCO0.3%Flat / inactive path · path -0.05% · basket -0.00pp
Top six names by movement share are shown. Movement share measures absolute 5-minute path energy; signed basket contribution is equal-weight. Neither is a portfolio weight or causal attribution.

01 · WHAT IS HAPPENING

The move, the flow and who is driving it

Price breadth, unusual activity and signed capital flow are separate observations
HOW THE PRICE MOVE SPREAD

Observed session sequence

5-minute bars · inferred
  1. CLFD moved higher firstFirst member to clear the material path threshold · path +5.07%
  2. HLIT registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +1.88%
  3. AMBQ registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +1.52%
  4. AMBA registered a material higher path0m after the first price move · path +1.04%
  5. ARRY registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -0.69%
  6. HPE registered a material lower path0m after the first price move · path -1.62%

Sequence inferred from aligned 5-minute price paths; it is not a causal ordering.

RELATIVE CO-MOVEMENT

How the members are behaving together

SPY-adjusted
Aug 25 · 10:20 ETMove visible 15:55 ETAug 25 · 15:55 ET
Group median +0.71%Strongest relative path CLFDWeakest relative path ARRY

Observed member paths adjusted against SPY. The dashed marker shows when the median move first cleared a material threshold; shading marks the latest 20% of the observed window.

02 · WHY IT MATTERS

Why now and where the move could travel

Context and lead/lag links are evidence, not proof of causation or a forecast
WHY NOW

Verified recent context

0 items

No verified recent catalyst is attached to this move. The relationship may be market-led rather than news-led.

WHY THIS GROUP EXISTS

Shared filing context

23/24 members covered

Moderate filing support: the strongest shared 10-Q/K outlook is operating setup (near-term outlook) across AMBA, AMBQ, ARRY, CEVA, CLFD, CSCO, GCTS, HLIT, HPE, PDFS, PENG, QCOM, RMBS, SEDG, SMTC, SNX, SYNA, VPG.

demand / volume affecting revenue

“This decrease in blended ASP per watt was partially offset by a higher number of power optimizers shipped, compared to the number of inverters shipped; as well as higher ASP due to increase in sales in the U.S. compared to sales in Europe, which is characterized by a higher demand for residential products, which have a higher ASP per watt out of our total solar product mix.”

SEDG 10-Q · 2025-11-06
restructuring affecting expense

“Sales and Marketing Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 to 2026 2026 2025 Change (In thousands) Sales and marketing $ 27,449 $ 31,657 % (4,208 ) (13.3 )% Sales and marketing expenses decreased by $4.2 million, or 13.3%, in the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily due to: • a decrease in personnel-related costs of $2.3 million resulting from our workforce reduction plan designed to reduce operating expenses and align our cost structure to current market dynamics; • a decrease in travel and hospitality costs of $0.8 million; and • a decrease in depreciation and amortization of $0.5 million.”

SEDG 10-Q · 2026-05-07
product pipeline / R&D affecting expense

“SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC. | 2026 Form 10-Q | 12 Operating Expenses: Research and Development, net Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 to 2026 2026 2025 Change (In thousands) Research and development, net $ 50,155 $ 61,997 $ (11,842 ) (19.1 )% Research and development, net costs decreased by $11.8 million or 19.1%, in the three months ended March 31, 2026 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily due to: • a decrease in personnel-related costs of $12.3 million resulting from our workforce reduction plan designed to reduce operating expenses and align our cost structure to current market dynamics, which was partially offset by the weakening of the USD compared to the NIS; and • a decrease in depreciation and amortization of $1.0 million; This was partially offset by: • an increase in other directly overhead costs of $1.2 million.”

SEDG 10-Q · 2026-05-07
CONFIRMATION NETWORK

Outsiders and cross-asset links

0 outsiders confirming

No qualified cross-asset lead/lag link is available for this group.

Filing-linked outsiders test whether the move is spreading beyond the established cohort.

CDNSNot confirming

AIP · text peer

SLABNot confirming

SMTC · text peer

ONNot confirming

AIP · text peer

NXPINot confirming

AIP · text peer

03 · WHO IS IN IT

Member participation

Unusual activity and daily price direction are shown separately
SEDGITRNAMBQAVGOSNXAIPCSCOARRYCEVAHPEPENGSYNAPDFSGCTSRMBSCLFDNVECENPHQCOMSMTCAMBAVPGMXHLIT

8/24 active17 rising · 7 falling

MemberUnusual activityToday's moveRead now
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.
Most unusual · 100/100
-0.7%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ITRNIturan Location and Control Ltd
Elevated · 50/100
+1.3%
Active; unclassifiedActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.
Elevated · 49/100
+6.0%
Aligned path contributorActive in 0% of observed group sessions
AVGOBroadcom Inc.
Elevated · 37/100
-0.6%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 0% of observed group sessions
SNXTD SYNNEX Corporation
Elevated · 36/100
+3.0%
Flow divergenceActive in 28.6% of observed group sessions
AIPArteris, Inc.
Elevated · 35/100
+2.6%
Aligned path contributorActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.
Elevated · 35/100
+0.8%
Flow divergenceActive in 0% of observed group sessions
ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.
Elevated · 30/100
-0.7%
Counter-move / dispersionActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CEVACEVA, Inc.
Quiet · 27/100
+1.7%
Watch / laggardActive in 42.9% of observed group sessions
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
Quiet · 26/100
+1.9%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.
Quiet · 24/100
-0.6%
Watch / laggardActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
SYNASynaptics Incorporated
Quiet · 22/100
+1.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 28.6% of observed group sessions
PDFSPDF Solutions, Inc.
Quiet · 21/100
+0.5%
Watch / laggardActive in 42.9% of observed group sessions
GCTSGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.
Quiet · 20/100
-0.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
RMBSRambus Inc.
Quiet · 18/100
+3.2%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
CLFDClearfield, Inc.
Quiet · 17/100
+8.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
NVECNVE Corporation
Quiet · 17/100
-0.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 42.9% of observed group sessions
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.
Quiet · 17/100
+0.4%
Watch / laggardActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated
Quiet · 16/100
+1.3%
Watch / laggardActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
SMTCSemtech Corporation
Quiet · 16/100
+6.0%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
AMBAAmbarella, Inc.
Quiet · 15/100
+1.1%
Watch / laggardActive in 14.3% of observed group sessions
VPGVishay Precision Group, Inc.
Quiet · 15/100
-2.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
MXMagnachip Semiconductor Corpora
Quiet · 14/100
+2.8%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
HLITHarmonic Inc.
Quiet · 14/100
+2.4%
Watch / laggardActive in 0% of observed group sessions
View exact member values
TICKERCompanyRole nowTodayObserved historyTrader interpretation
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.Most unusual-0.7%0% of 7 sessionsMost unusual activity in this snapshot; performance direction may differ.
ITRNIturan Location and Control LtdParticipating+1.3%14.3% of 7 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.Participating+6.0%0% of 7 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
AVGOBroadcom Inc.Participating-0.6%0% of 7 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationParticipating+3.0%28.6% of 7 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
AIPArteris, Inc.Participating+2.6%14.3% of 7 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.Participating+0.8%0% of 7 sessionsPrice participation with distributing signed flow.
ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.Participating-0.7%0% of 7 sessionsPrice participation is not yet confirmed by per-name flow.
CEVACEVA, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.7%42.9% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise CompanyQuiet / lagging+1.9%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.6%14.3% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
SYNASynaptics IncorporatedQuiet / lagging+1.3%28.6% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
PDFSPDF Solutions, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.5%42.9% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
GCTSGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.Quiet / lagging-0.8%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
RMBSRambus Inc.Quiet / lagging+3.2%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
CLFDClearfield, Inc.Quiet / lagging+8.1%14.3% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
NVECNVE CorporationQuiet / lagging-0.3%42.9% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.Quiet / lagging+0.4%14.3% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedQuiet / lagging+1.3%14.3% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
SMTCSemtech CorporationQuiet / lagging+6.0%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
AMBAAmbarella, Inc.Quiet / lagging+1.1%14.3% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
VPGVishay Precision Group, Inc.Quiet / lagging-2.8%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
MXMagnachip Semiconductor CorporaQuiet / lagging+2.8%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.
HLITHarmonic Inc.Quiet / lagging+2.4%0% of 7 sessionsNot participating yet; a breadth test or a genuine divergence.

04 · HAS THIS HAPPENED BEFORE

Identity history versus measured outcomes

Structural recurrence is not the same as a validated trading outcome
POINT-IN-TIME LIVE OUTCOMES

Live outcome ledger collecting

0/0 events completed

No completed point-in-time outcome is available yet. New live confirmations are now retained with their exact observation timestamp; statistics appear only after the corresponding candles complete.

Only point-in-time live watcher observations and conservative same-day EOD observations are included. Later backfills and replay runs are excluded.
Low structural sample

Only 2 completed episodes across 7 active sessions; treat history as context, not a validated playbook. These episode counts describe recurrence; the outcome ledger above is the only forward-performance evidence.

Structural support17 daysHow often the cohort identity was observed
Completed episodes2Separate periods of broad group activity
Active sessions7Completed session observations, not trades
2026-07-071 active session100% composition consistency through the episode
2026-06-24 → 2026-07-026 active sessionsNo name was active through every recorded session
MEMBER CONSISTENCY IN OBSERVED ACTIVE SESSIONS
CEVA42.9% · 2 episodes
NVEC42.9% · 2 episodes
PDFS42.9% · 1 episode
SNX28.6% · 1 episode
SYNA28.6% · 1 episode
AIP14.3% · 1 episode
AMBA14.3% · 1 episode
CLFD14.3% · 1 episode
ENPH14.3% · 1 episode
ITRN14.3% · 1 episode
PENG14.3% · 1 episode
QCOM14.3% · 1 episode
AMBQ0% · 0 episodes
ARRY0% · 0 episodes
AVGO0% · 0 episodes
CSCO0% · 0 episodes
GCTS0% · 0 episodes
HLIT0% · 0 episodes
HPE0% · 0 episodes
MX0% · 0 episodes
RMBS0% · 0 episodes
SEDG0% · 0 episodes
SMTC0% · 0 episodes
VPG0% · 0 episodes